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Bitcoin Starts Recovery, Why $38K Is The Key For Reversal

Bitcoin extended decline below $34,000 against the US Dollar. BTC is recovering, but it must clear $38,000 for a steady upward move.

Bitcoin remained in a bearish zone below the $38,000 and $36,500 support levels.
The price is now trading near $36,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $35,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair could start a major increase if there is a clear move above the $38,000 resistance.

Bitcoin Price Eyes Recovery
Bitcoin price extended decline below the $35,000 and $34,000 support levels. BTC even spiked below the $33,000 level. A low was formed near $32,940 and the price recently started a recovery wave.
There was a break above the $35,000 and $35,500 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $43,490 swing high to $32,940 low. Besides, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $35,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The pair even spiked above the $37,000 level. Bitcoin is now trading near $36,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $37,000 level.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
The first major resistance is near the $38,000 zone. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $43,490 swing high to $32,940 low. An upside break above the $38,000 resistance could start a steady recovery wave towards $40,000. The next key resistance is near the $41,200 level, above which the bulls might aim a test of $42,000.
Fresh Decline in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to start a fresh increase above $38,000, it could start another decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $36,000 zone.
The first major support is seen near the $35,400 zone. A downside break below the $35,400 support zone may perhaps spark another drop. The next major support is near $34,000, below which the price could revisit the recent low.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $35,400, followed by $34,000.
Major Resistance Levels – $37,000, $38,000 and $38,200.

Christian Robinson
Christian Robinson
I’m a regular contributor to Forbes, CoinDesk, and Bitcoin Magazine, among others. My work focuses on providing analysis of the latest trends in the crypto industry, as well as offering insights into investment opportunities. I have a strong track record of identifying emerging technologies and assets that can achieve significant growth. As such, I believe that I am uniquely positioned to help investors navigate the ever-changing landscape of cryptocurrency.

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